Baby boom in Manitoba: 18% increase over decade 0
Looks like Manitoba playgrounds and daycares will get plenty of use in the coming years.
The province is going through a baby boom, with the number of babies born up 18% since 2001/02, according to Manitoba’s chief statistician.
“The trend is considerably more births over the last 10 years,” said Wilf Falk.
The province saw a whopping 16,250 babies born between July 1, 2011 and June 30, 2012, the greatest number in any fiscal year since 1994/95.
Falk said part of the boom is due to the fact 296,300 Manitobans are women between the ages of 15 and 49 years old, the so-called “child-bearing years.” This group accounts for about 23% of the total provincial population of roughly 1.267 million.
Cathy Grafton, whose son Liam is just under three months old, said most of her friends have recently had kids or are planning to do so soon.
“I think most people want to have a family, especially once they get married or meet the person they want to spend their life with,” said Grafton.
Grafton, 28, who plans to have two kids, said she always knew she wanted children. But the final decision of when to have a baby depended on relationship and career timing.
“I think more people are waiting until their careers are established, when they’re a little older,” she said.
That line of thinking appears common in Manitoba. The median age of Manitoba women who had babies in 1989 was 27.3, which rose to 28.6 in 2010.
Meanwhile, the province has enjoyed high immigration rates from countries where fertility rates tend to be higher. For example, Manitoba’s largest source of immigration, the Philippines, has a fertility rate of about 3.1. And about 80% of the province’s immigrants are under 40 years old.
Manitoba’s fertility rate has also risen a bit, to reach 1.95 babies per child-bearing woman, said Falk.
The recent boom is a stark reversal from 2001/02, when just 13,746 babies were born in Manitoba, the lowest number since 1971/72.
Falk said Manitoba is simultaneously enjoying a natural population increase, meaning the number of annual births is currently exceeding the number of deaths.
“I think we are bucking, at least to the east of us, some of the trends. In the scenario of increasing number of deaths, with over 10,000 per year in Manitoba, we’re still having a natural increase contribute to our population growth,” he said.
Babies by the numbers:
- Number of babies born in Manitoba during the 2011/12 fiscal year: 16,250
- Last year when number of births that high (at 16,452): 1994-95
- Lowest number of annual birth in past four decades: 13,746 in 2001-02
- Average fertility rate for Manitoba's child-bearing women: 1.95
- Median age of Manitoba women who had babies in 1989: 27.3
- Median age of Manitoba women having babies in 2010: 28.6